Geopolitical Events

Time Ticking for Brexit
March 18, 2018

Time Ticking for Brexit By Klavs Valters In just over a year – on 29th March 2019 to be exact – Britain is scheduled to leave the European Union. It has been nearly a year since Theresa May triggered Article 50 and began the two-year process to negotiate an exit deal. As we know, the negotiations so far can’t be classed as successful. Even ...

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US Trade vs the World
January 30, 2018

US Trade vs the World   Since Donald Trump became the President of the United States in 2016, we have heard him say a lot about the "unbelievably bad" trade agreements the world’s largest economy has with some countries around the world. We have already seen Trump attempt to renegotiate the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), which...

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City of London Feeling the Brexit Effect
January 15, 2018

City of London Feeling the Brexit Effect By Klavs Valters Not a day goes by without Brexit being mentioned and we can expect more of this to continue for some time, even after Britain leaves the European Union next year. With the International Monetary Fund (IMF) cutting its economic growth forecast for Britain for the coming years, are we also sta...

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UK Trade vs The World
January 10, 2018

UK Trade vs The World By Klavs Valters With the UK leaving the European Union next year, its trading arrangements with the bloc will change. How they will change will be determined over the coming months when both parties start the second phase of the negotiations. This will shine a light on what the agreement will look like and how it will impact ...

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UK Making Post-Brexit Plans
January 4, 2018

UK Making Post-Brexit Plans By Klavs Valters   2018 is shaping up to be a defining year for the relationship between the United Kingdom and the European Union. After making sufficient progress in the first phase of negotiations, talks will now begin on the trade arrangements after the UK leaves the EU. Even though the UK cannot agree on any tr...

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Brexit Breakthrough
December 12, 2017

Brexit Breakthrough By Klavs Valters   After months of discussions and nearly a year and a half after the Brexit referendum took place, there has been a breakthrough in the Brexit talks. Both sides have now agreed on major key issues which was vital before moving onto the trade talks, which are estimated to begin in February of next year. Over...

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New sanctions imposed on North Korea
September 13, 2017

New sanctions imposed on North Korea by United Nations (UN) Security Council North Korea has been slapped with new sanctions after the detonation of a hydrogen bomb, an even more powerful nuclear weapon than the atomic bomb. The new resolutions widely adopted by the international community show the urgency of restricting North Korea’s ability to ...

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NAFTA Negotiations Begin
August 22, 2017

16th August 2017 marked the beginning of renegotiations between the United States, Canada and Mexico on the North American Trade Agreement (NAFTA). The leaders from each country will meet up over the next few months to begin discussions on the agreement which has been in place since 1994.   American view   The United States have got a tou...

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Jackson Hole Economic Symposium
August 20, 2017

The annual Jackson Hole Economic Symposium sponsored by the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City has been held since 1978. From 1978-1981 it was held at different locations but since 1981 it has been held in Jackson Hole, Wyoming and this year is no exception. From 24th – 26th August 2017, the most influential central bankers, finance ministers, a...

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War of Words US and North Korea Tensions
August 14, 2017

Markets are rattled by US- North Korea tensions as Trump vows to respond to North Korea nuclear threats with “fire and furry”. The senior administration officials and Secretary of State Rex Tillerson tried to find different ways to explain the President’s comments and play down the tough talk. Trump reinforced his threats stating “they shou...

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How Brexit will effect the finance industry
July 25, 2017

An update on Brexit: How it will effect the finance industry With Brexit talks in full swing, financial services companies based in the United Kingdom are starting to plan for the life after the United Kingdom leaves the European Union in 2019. With a deal far from being agreed upon and the likelihood that a deal may not be agreed within two-year t...

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Qatar Turmoil Continues
July 10, 2017

On 23rd June 2017, Saudi Arabia and its allies issued a list of demands giving Qatar 10 days to respond to their ultimatum. It has now been just over a month since seven countries announced that they will be cutting all diplomatic ties with the Gulf nation 5th July saw the leaders of the four countries seeking to isolate the tiny Gulf nation met in...

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G20 Summit and what to expect from the market.
July 9, 2017

Friday 7th July 2017 saw the official start of the two-day G20 summit in Hamburg, Germany, were delegates from 19 countries come together to discuss matters ranging from free trade to Global warming. We have compiled this quick guide to what you can expect from the markets after this year’s summit.   What is G20? The G20 started in 1999 as a...

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July update on Brexit
July 4, 2017

An Update on Brexit The dust has finally settled after the UK Snap elections and now the United Kingdom can turn their heads to discussions with the European Union about how and on what terms they will leave the Union. The Brexit negotiations officially began on 19th June in Brussels, the opening day mainly consisted of the timing and structure of ...

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Qatar Diplomatic Crisis
June 6, 2017

Qatar Diplomatic Crisis 5th June 2017 a diplomatic crisis hit Qatar with seven countries.  Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, United Arab Emirates, Egypt Yemen, Libya and the Maldives announced they are cutting all diplomatic ties with Qatar which came as a shock to the rest of the World. Reason? – Saudi Arabia made an announcement via Saudi Press Agency, ...

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NAFTA – What Happens Next
May 12, 2017

NAFTA - What Happens Next The North American Trade Agreement (NAFTA) came into effect on 1st January 1994 and it formed one of the World’s largest free trade zones.  It laid down the foundations for a strong economic growth for the United States, Canada and Mexico. While there is ample evidence of its shared positive economic impact, but how abo...

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What You Need to Know About Brexit – by Klavs Valters, GO Markets
March 7, 2017

Brexit 23rd June 2016 – the day the people of United Kingdom voted to leave the European Union, it’s a day which will go down in the history and will always be remembered. The margin by which people voted to leave was not big (51.9% voted to leave, 48.1% voted to stay) but it will undoubtedly continue to have a big impact on the United Kingdom,...

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Why Brexit is Not a Black Swan
July 28, 2016

The 7.95% downward move on the British Pound (GBP) on the back of the Brexit vote was definitely one of a kind. The black line in the chart below shows the daily closing prices for the cable all the way back to 1975. The red line is the daily net changes (measured from close to close) during the same period.  As you can see, never in the past 41 ...

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Brexit Impact on Global Markets
June 28, 2016

The Trading Strategies You Need to Consider to Capitalise on the Increased Volatility The Brexit Impact on Global Markets was incredibly strong. Many believed that Brexit would never eventuate, particularly when polls and analysis led many to think that the UK would vote to stay with Europe. However, Brexit happened and whilst it caught many off ...

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The Aftermath of Brexit – Point & Figure Analysis
June 28, 2016

Aftermath of Brexit Today we'll take a look at the aftermath of the Brexit vote using point and figure analysis. As we begin to process the magnitude of last week’s ‘Brexit’ vote, it is important to understand that we are still not of the woods yet regarding event risk and market stability. It may well be the start of an extremely volatile pe...

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